The post made by Patrick Dunleavy on the LSE blog a few days ago suggesting that the current Parliament would not last until 2015 has caused a flurry of responses on the LSE blog that I thought I would share with you.
First of all Mark Pack has suggested an early election will only serve to turn Ed Miliband into a plausible PM- not only are his views on Fixed Terms interesting but also his views on the qualities required in a leader/ his examples of those with the right skills e.g. Blair and those lacking e.g. Hague and Foot.
The second piece agrees with the analysis of Dunleavy in the original post and uses duration analysis to support it. This sort of statistical analysis is something we don’t have a great deal of opportunity to look at in class, but if you go on to do politics at university the notion of modelling information will become more important.